Bitcoin Supply Metric Flashes First Buy Signal Since 2022
A key Bitcoin supply indicator just printed its first buy signal since November 2022, hinting the bear market may be nearing its end.
Pay attention. Bitcoin's supply dynamics just did something they haven't done since November 2022 — flashed a buy signal. That was the depths of the last bear market, right before BTC eventually launched into a historic bull run. History doesn't repeat, but it does rhyme, and this is the kind of signal serious traders circle on their charts.
The metric is pointing toward a potential end of what analysts are calling the 2026 bear market. If you've been sitting on the sidelines waiting for a data-backed entry point, this is the first one the supply side has handed you in over two years. That's not nothing.
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But here's the part you can't ignore: analysis accompanying the signal explicitly warns that BTC price could still move lower before any sustained recovery kicks in. A buy signal is not a price bottom. It's a shift in underlying supply pressure — and those shifts can take time to translate into price action. Don't confuse an early signal with a safe entry.
The 2022 parallel is worth sitting with. When the same metric printed back then, Bitcoin wasn't done bleeding immediately. But those who acted on the signal over the following weeks and months caught one of the best accumulation windows of the cycle. Timing is hard. Direction, over time, tends to follow the supply math.
If you're a long-term holder or a patient accumulator, this signal is worth tracking closely. If you're looking for a guaranteed floor, keep waiting — the data doesn't promise you one. What it does suggest is that the bear market clock may finally be ticking toward zero. Continue reading at Cointelegraph.
