July Is the S&P 500's Best Month — 5 Tech Stocks Outperform
The S&P 500 averages 2.56% gains in July over 20 years. A handful of big-cap tech names do even better.
If you're looking for a seasonal edge, July is historically your month. The S&P 500 has averaged a 2.56% return every July over the past two decades — the single best monthly average of any month on the calendar. That's not a fluke: the index has finished July in the green 80% of the time and has strung together 11 consecutive winning Julys. That kind of consistency is rare in markets.
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) is your baseline proxy for that performance, but the real alpha appears to live inside large-cap tech. A subset of mega-cap technology names has historically outpaced the broad index during July, making the month a potential sweet spot for traders already leaning bullish on the sector.
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Apple (AAPL) is one name flashing an upward bias as July approaches, according to the source analysis. If history rhymes, money rotating into tech during the summer could give AAPL and its peers an extra lift beyond whatever the broader market delivers. Seasonal patterns aren't guarantees, but an 80% hit rate on a monthly directional call is the kind of edge most traders would take every time.
The strategic play here is straightforward: if you believe the seasonal pattern holds, July is not the month to be sitting heavy in cash or running aggressive short positions against quality tech. Position sizing still matters, and macro risks — rates, earnings surprises, geopolitical flare-ups — can override any historical tendency. But the wind is at the bull's back when the calendar flips to July.
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